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Nowcasting
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This RePEc Biblio topic is edited by Domenico Giannone. It was first published on 2015-01-05 15:46:10 and last updated on 2018-05-21 04:19:05.
Introduction by the editor
The term now‐casting is a contraction for now and forecasting and has been used for a long‐time in meteorology and recently also in economics. In economic nowcasting is defined as the prediction of the present, the very near future and the very recent past. Crucial in this process is to use timely monthly information in order to nowcast key economic variables, such as e.g. GDP, that are typically collected at low frequency and published with long delays.Most relevant link for this topic
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nowcasting_%28economics%29Most relevant JEL codes
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
Most relevant NEP reports
NEP reports are email or RSS notifications about new research in selected fields. Subscriptions are free.Most relevant research
- Martin D. D. Evans, 2005.
"Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy,"
International Journal of Central Banking,
International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(2), September.
- Evans, Martin D.D., 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 5270, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin D.D. Evans, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy," NBER Working Papers 11064, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Evans, Martin D, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy," MPRA Paper 831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martin D. D. Evans(Georgetown University and NBER), 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-time Estimates of the Macro Economy," Working Papers gueconwpa~05-05-02, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Small, David, 2008.
"Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Small, David, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," CEPR Discussion Papers 5178, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H. Small, 2005. "Nowcasting GDP and inflation: the real-time informational content of macroeconomic data releases," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & David H Small, 2007. "Nowcasting GDP and Inflation: The Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 164, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013.
"Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting,
Elsevier.
- Banbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2012. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Higgins, Patrick C., 2014. "GDPNow: A Model for GDP "Nowcasting"," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2014-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017.
"Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics,
MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," Discussion Papers 1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," Bank of England working papers 587, Bank of England.
- Bok, Brandyn & Caratelli, Daniele & Giannone, Domenico & Sbordone, Argia M. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2017.
"Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting with big data,"
Staff Reports
830, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Bok, Brandyn & Caratelli, Daniele & Giannone, Domenico & Sbordone, Argia & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 12589, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jose M. Carabias, 2018. "The real-time information content of macroeconomic news: implications for firm-level earnings expectations," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 136-166, March.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Monokroussos, George, 2013.
"Nowcasting US GDP: The role of ISM business surveys,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 644-658.
- Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos, 2011. "Nowcasting US GDP: The role of ISM Business Surveys," Discussion Papers 11-01, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Joelle Liebermann, 2014. "Real-Time Nowcasting of GDP: A Factor Model vs. Professional Forecasters," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(6), pages 783-811, December.
- Daniela Bragoli & Jack Fosten, 2016. "Nowcasting Indian GDP," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2016-06, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017.
"A Dynamic Factor Model for Nowcasting Canadian GDP Growth,"
Staff Working Papers
17-2, Bank of Canada.
- Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017. "A dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian GDP growth," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 217-234, August.
- Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed, 2017. "Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper 1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Tatjana Dahlhaus & Justin-Damien Guénette & Garima Vasishtha, 2015.
"Nowcasting BRIC+M in Real Time,"
Staff Working Papers
15-38, Bank of Canada.
- Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Guénette, Justin-Damien & Vasishtha, Garima, 2017. "Nowcasting BRIC+M in real time," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 915-935.
- Luciani, Matteo & Pundit, Madhavi & Ramayandi, Arief & Veronese, Giovanni, 2015.
"Nowcasting Indonesia,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-100, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Luciani, Matteo & Pundit, Madhavi & Ramayandi, Arief & Veronese , Giovanni, 2015. "Nowcasting Indonesia," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 471, Asian Development Bank.
- Troy D. Matheson, 2014.
"New indicators for tracking growth in real time,"
OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis,
OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 51-71.
- Troy D Matheson, 2011. "New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time," IMF Working Papers 11/43, International Monetary Fund.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015.
"Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A,
Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2013. "Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 9312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Working Paper 1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2014.
"Nowcasting Norway,"
International Journal of Central Banking,
International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 215-248, December.
- Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2013. "Nowcasting Norway," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Derry O’Brien, 2012.
"Nowcasting Irish GDP,"
OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis,
OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 21-31.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & O'Brien, Derry, 2011. "Nowcasting Irish GDP," MPRA Paper 32941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & O'Brien, Derry, 2008. "Now-casting Irish GDP," Research Technical Papers 9/RT/08, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Brave, Scott & Butters, R. Andrew & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2016. "Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series WP-2016-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Bragoli, Daniela, 2017. "Now-casting the Japanese economy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 390-402.